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7 These books have excellent definitions of complexity in relation to ... systems. www.web.mit.edu/esd.83/www/notebook/Complex%20Adaptive%20Systems.pdf. ... dynamical systems: chaos, fractals, selfsimilarity and the limits of prediction.. Lessons of the Financial Crisis for Risk Management Michael J. Mazarr. 7. ... Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction (New York: Crown, 2015), ... pdf. Christopher Brown and Cheng Hao, “Treating Uncertainty as Risk: The ... of Markets: A Fractal View of Financial Turbulence (New York: Basic Books, 2004), 4.. In conclusion, it should be noted that the results of the study can only be the first step ... Only an integrated system approach can help with forecasting, strategic ... Retrieved from http://papers.nber.org/books/bry_71-1 Chlon-Dominczak, A. (2016). ... Retrieved from http://www.opf.slu.cz/kfi/icfb/proc2011/pdf/22_Chybalski.pdf .... Available: http://cemp.gmu.edu/files/pdfs/Annual_Research_Forum/2012/ ... Mandelbrot, B., Hudson, R. L. (2005) The (Mis)Behaviour of Markets: A Fractal View of Risk, Ruin and Reward. London: Profile Books. ... Muradoglu,G.(2002) Portfolio managers' and novices' forecasts ofrisk and return: arethere predictable forecast ... a43a48e1fd
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